It is time to plan ahead. The leaders of the world are aware, that unless drastic reductions in fossil fuel emissions are made, the environment of world will inevitably change for the worse. Since the climate conference in Bali in 2007, there has continued to be unanimous concern about the amount of fossil fuel emissions and rate of deforestation. As a result, over 200 leaders from countries across all socio-economic and political spectrums will meet in Copenhagen, Denmark between December 7-18 to potentially, and hopefully, create a common plan to globally reduce overall fossil fuel emissions, stop deforestation, and hence reduce global warming.
Scientists have known for centuries that the Earth’s climate has powerfully shaped the history of the human species – culturally, biologically, and geographically. However, until recently it was not known that humans have a powerful influence of the environment as well. Scientific evidence proves that since the 1950s, the overall world climate has become warmer. This temperature change is primarily due to the unrestricted burning of fossil fuels and the destruction of tropical rain forests. These harmful activities have caused a blanket of carbon dioxide and other heat trapping “greenhouse gases” to suffocate our atmosphere. Fluctuations in the Earth’s atmospheric temperatures are normal; however, a constant warming of the atmosphere is not.
There are two central contributors to the growing climate damage – fossil fuel emissions and deforestation. Fossil fuels are primarily oil and coal. Oil is converted to gasoline which fuels most types of transportation – cars, trains, trucks, ships, planes, etc. Coal (and oil) power many electrical power plants and large manufacturing plants. The richer and more developed countries have the complex transportation infrastructures, power grids, and manufacturing facilities thus creating the most fossil fuel emissions. Per person fossil fuel emissions range from less then two tons per person per year in India – where over 400 million residents lack electricity – to over 20 tons per person a year in the United States (Data Link). These richer countries not only have more fossil fuels emissions, but they also have the wealth and technology to protect themselves from the climate changes.
On the contrary, most of the world’s deforestation is taking place in underdeveloped countries in both Africa and South America. Forests cover over 30% of the Earth’s surface with thirteen million hectares of forest – the size of Greece – lost every year due to human intervention. Not only are forests important because they house many diverse animal and plant species, but they are also the foundation of many natural systems as well. For example, forests conserve soil and water, control avalanches, and protect and stabilize coastal areas. Moreover, trees absorb carbon dioxide – the greenhouse gas produced by fossil fuel burning – so the more that forests are destroyed, the less we can “safely” emit. Essentially, the candle is being burnt at both ends. The loss of natural forests each year contributes more to global warming then the transport sector emissions.
In many ways, the debate over climate policy is a result of this “global climate divide” between the richer nations and the poorer ones. However, the problem must be addressed because the current world population of 6.5 billion is expected to increase to over 9 billion by the year 2042. In order, to maintain this growing population and in order to meet the inevitable and insatiable demand for more– more land, more food, more manufactured products, and more energy – more fossil fuels will be burned and more rain forests will be lost. As a result, world negotiators aim to outline basic global agreements in Copenhagen 2009. These negotiations are expected to be one of the most complex diplomatic challenges ever, due to competing interests and the reality that emission reduction will have a substantial economic impact in an already struggling global economy. The struggle between rich and poor countries over who will step up first and who will pay most for the energy changes should not prohibit development at Copenhagen.
The executive secretary of the United Nations framework on climate change is Mr. Yvo de Boer. Boer stated in his pre-conference press meeting, “Governments must give their adequate response to the urgent challenge of climate change. Negotiators now have the clearest signal ever from world leaders to craft solid proposals to implement rapid action.” Furthermore, he expressed confidence that the Copenhagen meeting will result in a comprehensive, competent, and concise international climate change deal.
Boer proclaimed there are “three layers of action” that world governments must agree to in Copenhagen in order to be remotely successful. First and foremost, they must implement fast, effective, and immediate action on climate change. Second, they need to form ambitious commitments to cut and limit emissions – including start-up support and long-term funding assurance for poorer countries. Lastly, they must develop a long-term shared vision of low emissions for all.
Furthermore, once a deal is reached, immediate action to reduce emissions will begin. Funding of at least 10 billion USD a year until 2012 is necessary to enable developing countries to launch low emission projects. However, funding reduced emissions projects in developing countries is not enough. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, industrialized countries will have to reduce their emissions by 25%-40% before 2020 to prevent the worst effects of climate change. Global emission would have to be reduced by as much as 50% by 2050. However, even this scenario only guarantees a 50% chance of avoiding catastrophic consequences due to environmental changes.
Clearly, there is a lot to discuss at the conference in Copenhagen. Despite the hope of success, in reality, President Obama and other respected leaders announced on November 15th that a formal treaty could not be produced anytime soon – specifically in Copenhagen. Instead, world leaders pledge to “reach a placeholder accord that would call for reductions in emissions and increased aid to help developing nations adapt to a changing climate and get access to non-polluting energy options”. In theory, it is hoped this will allow negotiators more time to iron out the details – such as firm emission targets, enforcement techniques, and specific dollar amounts to aid poor nations – and eventually reach a binding global agreement in 2010.








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